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Leeds vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Leeds has a 41% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Leeds
3-5-2Rating 1891
Form: WLDDL
vs
Model Probability
41%
Draw 28%
31%
Premier League
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%27.6%9.9%1.0%
If Win <1%34.6%12.6%<1%
If Draw <1%24.2%11.8%1.2%
If Lose <1%20.1%10.0%2.3%

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%13.3%8.1%3.5%
If Win <1%18.2%9.5%2.0%
If Draw <1%11.3%6.6%3.5%
If Lose <1%7.3%5.6%5.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LeedsStatChelsea
10Games played10
1.0Avg goals scored1.9
0.8Avg goals conceded1.6
30% / 50% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 10% / 40%
40% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LeedsStatChelsea
2All-time wins (8 meetings, 2 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-02-10): Chelsea 2–2 Leeds