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Premier League
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Leeds vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Leeds has a 44% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: DWDDW
VS
2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
Model Probability
44%
29%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%18.7%7.5%6.1%
If Win <1%24.1%8.5%3.1%
If Draw <1%18.2%6.8%5.6%
If Lose <1%14.1%6.0%6.3%

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%21.8%8.1%4.2%
If Win <1%25.8%9.5%2.7%
If Draw <1%19.3%8.5%4.3%
If Lose <1%16.3%6.3%5.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LeedsStatChelsea
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored2.0
0.6Avg goals conceded2.4
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 20% / 40%
33% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LeedsStatChelsea
2All-time wins (8 meetings, 2 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-02-10): Chelsea 2–2 Leeds