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Premier League
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Chelsea vs Sunderland Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 49% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1866
Form: LLDWL
Model Probability
49%
25%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Sunderland

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.3%3.6%17.7%
If Win <1%9.2%4.5%11.4%
If Draw <1%6.4%3.4%17.6%
If Lose <1%4.3%2.7%22.4%

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%17.3%6.3%5.9%
If Win <1%21.4%8.7%4.2%
If Draw <1%14.7%6.5%6.3%
If Lose <1%11.6%5.3%8.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatSunderland
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored1.2
2.4Avg goals conceded2.0
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatSunderland
11All-time wins (17 meetings, 1 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
2.4Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-05-24): Sunderland 2–1 Chelsea