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Chelsea vs Sunderland Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 56% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Jan 16, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW
vs
Model Probability
56%
Draw 24%
20%
Premier League
Sunderland
2-2-6Rating 1828
Form: WLDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Sunderland

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%1.0%34.3%
If Win <1%1.7%1.7%24.6%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%31.9%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%40.4%

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%27.7%11.3%1.2%
If Win <1%31.6%12.3%<1%
If Draw <1%21.5%10.7%1.1%
If Lose <1%17.3%8.6%2.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatSunderland
10Games played10
1.9Avg goals scored0.8
1.6Avg goals conceded1.7
50% / 10% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
60% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatSunderland
11All-time wins (18 meetings, 1 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
2.2Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-11-08): Sunderland 1–0 Chelsea