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Premier League
Wed, Jan 6, 2027 · 7:30 PM GMT

Crystal Palace vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Crystal Palace has a 37% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1849
Form: DLWLL
VS
2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
Model Probability
37%
35%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%17.9%7.0%6.0%
If Win <1%24.2%8.7%2.9%
If Draw <1%16.2%7.8%5.7%
If Lose <1%13.8%5.8%8.2%

Crystal Palace

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%3.3%2.0%26.1%
If Win <1%5.1%3.5%18.4%
If Draw <1%2.7%1.8%26.3%
If Lose <1%1.8%1.4%33.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Crystal PalaceStatChelsea
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored2.0
2.2Avg goals conceded2.4
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 20% / 40%
0% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Crystal PalaceStatChelsea
4All-time wins (26 meetings, 3 draws)19
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
0.8Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-01-25): Crystal Palace 1–3 Chelsea