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Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 64% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Feb 20, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Manchester City
7-0-3Rating 2031
Form: LLLWW
vs
Model Probability
64%
Draw 21%
15%
Premier League
Newcastle
3-3-4Rating 1890
Form: DLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%7.2%4.4%7.5%
If Win <1%11.8%6.1%3.2%
If Draw <1%7.2%4.7%7.0%
If Lose <1%5.5%4.1%8.8%

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 13.7%91.1%3.7%<1%
If Win 14.0%93.6%3.0%<1%
If Draw 10.5%89.5%4.4%<1%
If Lose 8.3%86.9%5.8%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatNewcastle
10Games played10
2.1Avg goals scored1.3
1.3Avg goals conceded1.6
70% / 0% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 30% / 40%
80% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester CityStatNewcastle
24All-time wins (30 meetings, 4 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.8Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-02-21): Manchester City 2–1 Newcastle