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Premier League
Sat, Feb 20, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Manchester City vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 65% chance to win.

5-0-0 · Rating 2063
Form: WWWWW
VS
2-2-1 · Rating 1916
Form: WLDWD
Model Probability
65%
15%
Draw 20%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%22.6%8.3%3.8%
If Win 1.4%31.1%9.2%1.9%
If Draw <1%25.8%7.3%3.5%
If Lose <1%20.8%8.2%4.3%

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 47.5%96.5%1.4%<1%
If Win 50.5%97.9%<1%<1%
If Draw 43.3%95.2%1.6%<1%
If Lose 38.3%94.5%2.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester CityStatNewcastle
5Games played5
2.6Avg goals scored1.8
1.0Avg goals conceded1.8
100% / 0% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester CityStatNewcastle
24All-time wins (30 meetings, 4 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.8Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-02-21): Manchester City 2–1 Newcastle