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Premier League
Sun, May 30, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Sunderland vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 55% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1866
Form: LLDWL
VS
5-0-0 · Rating 2063
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
20%
55%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 48.0%97.1%1.4%<1%
If Win 52.0%97.4%1.2%<1%
If Draw 44.5%96.5%1.1%<1%
If Lose 42.1%95.8%2.0%<1%

Sunderland

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.1%3.6%18.1%
If Win <1%7.6%4.8%13.2%
If Draw <1%6.4%2.9%17.5%
If Lose <1%5.2%3.0%18.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SunderlandStatManchester City
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored2.6
2.0Avg goals conceded1.0
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss100% / 0% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SunderlandStatManchester City
4All-time wins (18 meetings, 4 draws)10
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.0Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2026-09-20): Manchester City 5–3 Sunderland