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PSG vs Lens Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 77% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sun, Feb 28, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
PSG
7-2-1Rating 2043
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
77%
Draw 14%
8%
Ligue 1
Lens
4-1-5Rating 1790
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%7.3%6.2%2.3%<1%
If Win <1%14.6%8.8%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%8.6%7.1%1.9%<1%
If Lose <1%7.2%5.0%2.9%<1%

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 95.9%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 97.3%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 94.5%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 92.4%99.4%<1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PSGStatLens
10Games played10
2.2Avg goals scored1.7
1.0Avg goals conceded1.5
70% / 20% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 10% / 50%
75% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PSGStatLens
11All-time wins (17 meetings, 4 draws)2
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
1.8Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-05-13): Lens 0–2 PSG