← Home / Germany / Bundesliga / Matches / Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Win Probability

RB Leipzig has a 49% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Feb 5, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
4-0-5Rating 1687
Form: WLLWW
vs
Model Probability
25%
Draw 26%
49%
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
6-0-3Rating 1838
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%54.2%15.6%<1%<1%
If Win 1.4%61.5%13.5%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%50.6%16.4%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%46.1%16.3%<1%<1%

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.7%16.0%3.1%
If Win <1%1.7%2.4%10.1%1.6%
If Draw <1%<1%1.1%15.3%2.8%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%19.9%4.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Hamburger SVStatRB Leipzig
9Games played9
1.1Avg goals scored3.0
2.2Avg goals conceded1.4
44% / 0% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 0% / 33%
75% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Hamburger SVStatRB Leipzig
1All-time wins (7 meetings, 1 draws)5
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.9Average goals2.3
Last meeting (2026-09-13): RB Leipzig 5–0 Hamburger SV