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Mainz vs Schalke Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 61% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Feb 26, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-5Rating 1730
Form: LLLWL
vs
Model Probability
61%
Draw 22%
17%
Bundesliga
Schalke
1-3-5Rating 1609
Form: LLDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Schalke

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%33.5%43.8%
If Win <1%<1%<1%37.5%29.5%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%35.3%41.0%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%34.7%47.6%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.5%2.1%11.6%1.9%
If Win <1%1.5%2.8%8.4%1.1%
If Draw <1%<1%1.3%13.9%2.5%
If Lose <1%<1%1.3%15.9%4.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatSchalke
9Games played9
2.0Avg goals scored0.6
2.1Avg goals conceded1.2
33% / 11% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss11% / 33% / 56%
0% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatSchalke
5All-time wins (26 meetings, 7 draws)14
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.9Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-10-17): Schalke 0–1 Mainz