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Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen has a 62% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Feb 19, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
5-1-3Rating 1853
Form: WLLWW
vs
Model Probability
62%
Draw 22%
16%
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-5Rating 1730
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.7%1.8%12.1%2.1%
If Win <1%3.2%3.4%6.3%<1%
If Draw <1%1.3%1.6%10.2%2.3%
If Lose <1%<1%1.8%12.5%2.4%

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%51.2%18.1%<1%<1%
If Win 1.2%56.8%16.9%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%43.3%18.4%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%39.2%16.7%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayer LeverkusenStatMainz
9Games played9
2.2Avg goals scored2.0
1.9Avg goals conceded2.1
56% / 11% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 11% / 56%
75% Home win % / Away win % 75%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayer LeverkusenStatMainz
20All-time wins (34 meetings, 5 draws)9
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.8Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-10-10): Mainz 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen