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Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Freiburg has a 40% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Feb 26, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Freiburg
6-1-2Rating 1824
Form: WWLLW
vs
Model Probability
40%
Draw 28%
32%
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
5-1-3Rating 1853
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.1%51.5%17.5%<1%<1%
If Win 1.3%63.9%15.4%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%51.3%17.7%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%43.9%19.8%<1%<1%

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%51.4%16.6%<1%<1%
If Win 1.3%61.8%15.0%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%50.0%17.5%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%42.5%17.6%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FreiburgStatBayer Leverkusen
9Games played9
2.2Avg goals scored2.2
1.1Avg goals conceded1.9
67% / 11% / 22%Win / Draw / Loss56% / 11% / 33%
80% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FreiburgStatBayer Leverkusen
6All-time wins (32 meetings, 10 draws)16
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.1Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-10-18): Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Freiburg