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Mainz vs Elversberg Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 46% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Mar 5, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-5Rating 1730
Form: LLLWL
vs
Model Probability
46%
Draw 27%
27%
Bundesliga
Elversberg
4-1-4Rating 1719
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Elversberg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.7%4.3%6.3%<1%
If Win <1%5.4%5.9%2.2%<1%
If Draw <1%3.1%4.2%5.4%<1%
If Lose <1%2.5%2.6%7.2%1.0%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.8%2.3%10.1%2.0%
If Win <1%1.9%2.8%7.7%1.4%
If Draw <1%1.3%1.4%12.1%2.5%
If Lose <1%<1%1.4%16.3%3.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatElversberg
9Games played9
2.0Avg goals scored1.9
2.1Avg goals conceded2.0
33% / 11% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss44% / 11% / 44%
0% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatElversberg
0All-time wins (1 meetings, 0 draws)1
0Last 1 meetings (0 draws)1
1.0Average goals4.0
Last meeting (2026-10-30): Elversberg 4–1 Mainz