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Bayern Munich vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 84% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Mar 12, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
6-3-0Rating 2054
Form: WDWWD
vs
Model Probability
84%
Draw 11%
6%
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-5Rating 1730
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.7%1.9%12.1%2.3%
If Win <1%3.8%3.8%5.8%<1%
If Draw <1%1.6%3.0%9.9%1.4%
If Lose <1%1.2%1.9%11.5%2.4%

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 84.6%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 86.3%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 80.7%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 77.1%99.6%<1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayern MunichStatMainz
9Games played9
3.2Avg goals scored2.0
1.0Avg goals conceded2.1
67% / 33% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 11% / 56%
75% Home win % / Away win % 75%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayern MunichStatMainz
24All-time wins (34 meetings, 3 draws)7
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.8Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-11-07): Mainz 1–2 Bayern Munich