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Mainz vs Augsburg Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 44% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Mar 19, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-5Rating 1730
Form: LLLWL
vs
Model Probability
44%
Draw 27%
29%
Bundesliga
Augsburg
2-3-4Rating 1732
Form: LLDLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Augsburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.6%2.2%12.4%2.6%
If Win <1%2.4%3.6%7.4%1.0%
If Draw <1%1.1%1.9%12.0%2.4%
If Lose <1%<1%1.7%14.8%2.3%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.7%2.0%11.1%2.2%
If Win <1%1.9%2.6%7.9%1.1%
If Draw <1%<1%1.6%11.8%2.0%
If Lose <1%<1%1.0%14.8%2.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatAugsburg
9Games played9
2.0Avg goals scored2.2
2.1Avg goals conceded2.2
33% / 11% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss22% / 33% / 44%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatAugsburg
15All-time wins (30 meetings, 3 draws)12
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
1.7Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-02-07): Mainz 2–0 Augsburg