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Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 47% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Mar 5, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Dortmund
6-3-0Rating 1918
Form: WDWDD
vs
Model Probability
27%
Draw 27%
47%
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
6-3-0Rating 2054
Form: WDWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 84.2%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 92.0%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 84.9%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 75.1%99.8%<1%<1%<1%

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 12.7%92.4%4.2%<1%<1%
If Win 21.3%95.8%2.6%<1%<1%
If Draw 11.1%92.3%3.9%<1%<1%
If Lose 5.6%89.9%5.6%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatBayern Munich
9Games played9
1.8Avg goals scored3.2
0.8Avg goals conceded1.0
67% / 33% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss67% / 33% / 0%
80% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatBayern Munich
8All-time wins (34 meetings, 7 draws)19
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.2Average goals2.2
Last meeting (2026-10-31): Bayern Munich 2–2 Dortmund