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Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin Prediction & Win Probability

Hamburger SV has a 45% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 9, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
4-0-5Rating 1687
Form: WLLWW
vs
Model Probability
45%
Draw 27%
28%
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1-4-4Rating 1685
Form: LDDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%30.9%13.5%
If Win <1%<1%<1%25.6%8.1%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%30.9%12.9%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%34.3%15.9%

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.4%14.8%3.4%
If Win <1%1.2%2.2%9.8%1.5%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%16.0%3.7%
If Lose <1%<1%1.0%20.3%4.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Hamburger SVStatUnion Berlin
9Games played9
1.1Avg goals scored0.8
2.2Avg goals conceded2.3
44% / 0% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss11% / 44% / 44%
75% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Hamburger SVStatUnion Berlin
1All-time wins (2 meetings, 1 draws)0
1Last 2 meetings (1 draws)0
1.5Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-02-14): Hamburger SV 3–2 Union Berlin