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Bayern Munich vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 87% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 2, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
6-3-0Rating 2054
Form: WDWWD
vs
Model Probability
87%
Draw 9%
5%
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
4-0-5Rating 1687
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.2%1.3%16.0%3.5%
If Win <1%2.1%3.3%8.4%1.1%
If Draw <1%1.0%1.3%13.9%2.6%
If Lose <1%<1%1.5%16.0%3.5%

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 85.9%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 86.2%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 80.2%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 77.0%99.7%<1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayern MunichStatHamburger SV
9Games played9
3.2Avg goals scored1.1
1.0Avg goals conceded2.2
67% / 33% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss44% / 0% / 56%
75% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayern MunichStatHamburger SV
15All-time wins (19 meetings, 4 draws)0
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
3.7Average goals0.4
Last meeting (2026-01-31): Hamburger SV 2–2 Bayern Munich