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Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Win Probability

Hamburger SV has a 38% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Mar 19, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
4-0-5Rating 1687
Form: WLLWW
vs
Model Probability
38%
Draw 28%
34%
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
4-3-2Rating 1735
Form: LWWDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Werder Bremen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%7.3%7.1%2.4%<1%
If Win <1%11.1%10.2%1.1%<1%
If Draw <1%6.9%7.5%1.9%<1%
If Lose <1%5.5%6.0%3.5%<1%

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.2%1.2%14.9%3.2%
If Win <1%1.4%2.0%10.4%1.9%
If Draw <1%<1%1.2%14.0%3.2%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%19.8%4.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Hamburger SVStatWerder Bremen
9Games played9
1.1Avg goals scored1.9
2.2Avg goals conceded1.7
44% / 0% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss44% / 33% / 22%
75% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Hamburger SVStatWerder Bremen
6All-time wins (19 meetings, 3 draws)10
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.3Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-04-18): Werder Bremen 3–1 Hamburger SV