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Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin Prediction & Win Probability

Hoffenheim has a 56% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Apr 23, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
4-0-5Rating 1764
Form: WLWWL
vs
Model Probability
56%
Draw 24%
20%
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1-4-4Rating 1685
Form: LDDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%31.5%12.4%
If Win <1%<1%<1%24.8%8.5%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%31.5%11.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%33.3%14.6%

Hoffenheim

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%4.9%5.0%3.8%<1%
If Win <1%5.5%6.5%3.0%<1%
If Draw <1%3.8%4.9%4.4%<1%
If Lose <1%3.2%3.9%6.9%1.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

HoffenheimStatUnion Berlin
9Games played9
1.8Avg goals scored0.8
1.9Avg goals conceded2.3
44% / 0% / 56%Win / Draw / Loss11% / 44% / 44%
60% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
HoffenheimStatUnion Berlin
6All-time wins (14 meetings, 2 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.9Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-01-31): Hoffenheim 3–1 Union Berlin