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Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Win Probability

Union Berlin has a 37% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, May 7, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1-4-4Rating 1685
Form: LDDDW
vs
Model Probability
37%
Draw 28%
35%
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
4-3-2Rating 1735
Form: LWWDD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Werder Bremen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%7.5%7.8%2.3%<1%
If Win <1%9.7%9.8%1.3%<1%
If Draw <1%6.9%7.1%2.0%<1%
If Lose <1%4.9%6.2%3.1%<1%

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%30.5%11.5%
If Win <1%<1%<1%29.0%8.3%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%31.5%12.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%34.1%16.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Union BerlinStatWerder Bremen
9Games played9
0.8Avg goals scored1.9
2.3Avg goals conceded1.7
11% / 44% / 44%Win / Draw / Loss44% / 33% / 22%
20% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Union BerlinStatWerder Bremen
6All-time wins (12 meetings, 1 draws)5
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.4Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-03-08): Union Berlin 1–4 Werder Bremen