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Final Score: Estonia 1–0 Luxembourg
UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 4 · Round 3
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 ยท 5:00 PM BST

Estonia vs Luxembourg Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Luxembourg had a 36% chance to win, with a 31% chance of a draw.

Rating 1428 · World #120
Form: DDWWL
VS
Rating 1454 · World #107
Form: LWWWL
Pre-match probability
33%
36%
Draw 31%

League C ยท Group 4

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Iceland 4 8 1591 84% 13% 3% <1%
2 Estonia 4 6 1428 9% 51% 26% 14%
3 Bulgaria 4 4 1505 5% 29% 40% 26%
4 Luxembourg 4 3 1454 2% 7% 31% 60%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 8 internationals in any competition
EstoniaStatLuxembourg
2-4-2Won-Drawn-Lost3-0-5
0.75Avg goals scored0.88
1.12Avg goals conceded1.62
1428Rating1454
#120World rank#107

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
EstoniaStatLuxembourg
1Wins (1 meeting, 0 draws)0
1Last 1 meeting (0 draws)0
1.0Average goals0.0
Last meeting (Sat, Oct 3, 2026, Nations League): Estonia 1–0 Luxembourg

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ช Estonia

@ Bulgaria
Tue, Sep 29, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 20%
0–0
@ Iceland
Sat, Sep 26, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 14%
1–1
vs Lithuania
Tue, Jun 9, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 44%
1–0
vs Faroe Islands
Sat, Jun 6, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 44%
1–0
@ Rwanda
Mon, Mar 30, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 27%
0–2

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ Luxembourg

vs Iceland
Tue, Sep 29, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 28%
0–3
@ Bulgaria
Sat, Sep 26, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 25%
2–1
vs Malta
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 62%
3–0
@ Malta
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 48%
2–0
@ Northern Ireland
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 16%
0–1