Iceland has a 50% chance to win, with a 28% chance of a draw.
| Scenario | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| As things stand | 54% | 27% | 14% | 6% |
| Iceland win | 69% | 21% | 8% | 2% |
| Draw | 47% | 29% | 16% | 8% |
| Bulgaria win | 26% | 36% | 26% | 12% |
| Scenario | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| As things stand | 25% | 32% | 27% | 16% |
| Iceland win | 12% | 34% | 34% | 21% |
| Draw | 27% | 32% | 26% | 14% |
| Bulgaria win | 51% | 29% | 14% | 6% |
| # | Team | P | Pts | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 54% | 27% | 14% | 6% |
| – | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 25% | 32% | 27% | 16% |
| – | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 16% | 26% | 32% | 26% |
| – | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 6% | 15% | 27% | 52% |
| Iceland | Stat | Bulgaria |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1-6 | Won-Drawn-Lost | 3-0-7 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals scored | 1.6 |
| 2.0 | Avg goals conceded | 2.5 |
| 1581 | Rating | 1514 |
| #77 | World rank | #92 |