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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 4 · Round 5
Sat, Nov 14, 2026 Β· 7:45 PM GMT

Romania vs Poland Prediction & Win Probability

Poland has a 39% chance to win, with a 30% chance of a draw.

Rating 1650 · World #57
Form: LLLLL
VS
Rating 1725 · World #35
Form: LWLDL
Model Probability
30%
39%
Draw 30%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 4 position, depending on this result

πŸ‡·πŸ‡΄ Romania

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%<1%7%93%
Romania win <1%<1%25%75%
Draw <1%<1%<1%100%
Poland win <1%<1%<1%100%

πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± Poland

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%8%85%7%
Romania win <1%<1%75%25%
Draw <1%<1%100%<1%
Poland win <1%20%80%<1%

League B Β· Group 4

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Sweden 4 10 1744 80% 18% 1% <1%
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 8 1634 19% 74% 6% <1%
3 Poland 4 4 1725 <1% 8% 85% 7%
4 Romania 4 0 1650 <1% <1% 7% 93%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
RomaniaStatPoland
3-1-6Won-Drawn-Lost5-2-3
1.6Avg goals scored2.0
2.0Avg goals conceded1.2
1650Rating1725
#57World rank#35

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
RomaniaStatPoland
0Wins (4 meetings, 0 draws)4
0Last 4 meetings (0 draws)4
0.5Average goals4.0
Last meeting (Fri, Oct 2, 2026, Nations League): Poland 6–0 Romania