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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 4 · Round 5
Sat, Nov 14, 2026 Β· 7:45 PM GMT

Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction & Win Probability

Sweden has a 56% chance to win, with a 26% chance of a draw.

Rating 1744 · World #29
Form: WDWWL
VS
Rating 1634 · World #59
Form: WDWDL
Model Probability
56%
18%
Draw 26%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 4 position, depending on this result

πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ Sweden

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand80%18%1%<1%
Sweden win 100%<1%<1%<1%
Draw 81%19%<1%<1%
Bosnia & Herzegovina win 19%73%8%<1%

πŸ‡§πŸ‡¦ Bosnia & Herzegovina

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand19%74%6%<1%
Sweden win <1%91%9%<1%
Draw 19%77%4%<1%
Bosnia & Herzegovina win 81%19%<1%<1%

League B Β· Group 4

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Sweden 4 10 1744 80% 18% 1% <1%
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 8 1634 19% 74% 6% <1%
3 Poland 4 4 1725 <1% 8% 85% 7%
4 Romania 4 0 1650 <1% <1% 7% 93%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
SwedenStatBosnia & Herzegovina
6-2-2Won-Drawn-Lost3-5-2
2.0Avg goals scored1.3
1.6Avg goals conceded1.3
1744Rating1634
#29World rank#59

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
SwedenStatBosnia & Herzegovina
1Wins (2 meetings, 1 draw)0
1Last 2 meetings (1 draw)0
2.5Average goals1.5
Last meeting (Fri, Oct 2, 2026, Nations League): Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1 Sweden