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UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 4 · Round 5
Sat, Nov 14, 2026 Β· 7:45 PM GMT

Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction & Win Probability

Sweden has a 57% chance to win, with a 25% chance of a draw.

Rating 1727 · World #36
Form: LDLWW
VS
Rating 1608 · World #64
Form: LWLDD
Model Probability
57%
18%
Draw 25%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 4 position, depending on this result

πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ Sweden

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand35%30%22%13%
Sweden win 44%33%18%5%
Draw 29%28%26%17%
Bosnia & Herzegovina win 16%24%26%34%

πŸ‡§πŸ‡¦ Bosnia & Herzegovina

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand7%14%27%52%
Sweden win 3%10%24%63%
Draw 8%16%30%46%
Bosnia & Herzegovina win 20%24%31%24%

League B Β· Group 4

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Poland 0 0 1732 36% 29% 22% 13%
– Sweden 0 0 1727 35% 30% 22% 13%
– Romania 0 0 1686 21% 27% 30% 22%
– Bosnia & Herzegovina 0 0 1608 7% 14% 27% 52%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League C (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
SwedenStatBosnia & Herzegovina
3-2-5Won-Drawn-Lost2-5-3
1.5Avg goals scored1.4
2.1Avg goals conceded1.6
1727Rating1608
#36World rank#64

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
SwedenStatBosnia & Herzegovina
1Wins (1 meeting, 0 draws)0
1Last 1 meeting (0 draws)0
4.0Average goals2.0
Last meeting (Sat, May 29, 2010, Friendly): Sweden 4–2 Bosnia & Herzegovina

Recent Results

πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ Sweden

@ France
Tue, Jun 30, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 9%
0–3
@ Japan
Thu, Jun 25, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 21%
1–1
@ Netherlands
Sat, Jun 20, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 15%
1–5
vs Tunisia
Mon, Jun 15, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 42%
5–1
vs Poland
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 36%
3–2

πŸ‡§πŸ‡¦ Bosnia & Herzegovina

@ USA
Thu, Jul 2, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 14%
0–2
vs Qatar
Wed, Jun 24, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 37%
3–1
@ Switzerland
Thu, Jun 18, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 14%
1–4
@ Canada
Fri, Jun 12, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 21%
1–1
vs Italy
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 12%
1–1