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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 1 · Round 6

Sun, Nov 15, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT

France vs Turkey Prediction & Win Probability

France has a 75% chance to win, with a 17% chance of a draw.

Rating 2007 · World #4

Form: LWDWW

VS

Rating 1749 · World #28

Form: LLLLL

Model Probability

75%

9%

Draw 17%

🇫🇷 France

Scenario	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
As things stand	53%	44%	3%	<1%
France win	71%	29%	<1%	<1%
Draw	<1%	100%	<1%	<1%
Turkey win	<1%	61%	39%	<1%

🇹🇷 Turkey

Scenario	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
As things stand	<1%	<1%	<1%	100%
France win	<1%	<1%	<1%	100%
Draw	<1%	<1%	<1%	100%
Turkey win	<1%	<1%	<1%	100%

#	Team	P	Pts	Rating	1st	2nd	3rd	4th
1	Italy	5	10	1890	37%	25%	38%	<1%
2	France	5	10	2007	53%	44%	3%	<1%
3	Belgium	5	9	1899	10%	31%	59%	<1%
4	Turkey	5	0	1749	<1%	<1%	<1%	100%

Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

France	Stat	Turkey
6-1-3	Won-Drawn-Lost	3-0-7
1.8	Avg goals scored	0.8
1.3	Avg goals conceded	1.8
2007	Rating	1749
#4	World rank	#28

France	Stat	Turkey
1	Wins (3 meetings, 1 draw)	1
1	Last 3 meetings (1 draw)	1
0.67	Average goals	1.0

Last meeting (Fri, Sep 25, 2026, Nations League): Turkey 0–1 France

Recent Results

🇫🇷 France

Thu, Nov 12, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 49%

Mon, Oct 5, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 56%

Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 61%

Mon, Sep 28, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 45%

Fri, Sep 25, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 61%

🇹🇷 Turkey

Thu, Nov 12, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 23%

Mon, Oct 5, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 18%

Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 17%

Mon, Sep 28, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 30%

Fri, Sep 25, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 15%