Final Score: Cardinals 8 - Reds 1
Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET

Cardinals @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
28-21 Rating 1505
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Reds +0.2
Reds
26-24 Rating 1500
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Reds
All-time wins 408 379
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.3
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Reds
Games played 49 50
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.6 5.0
Win percentage 57% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 65% 54%