Final Score: Pirates 1 - Cardinals 4
Friday, August 28, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET

Pirates @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
65-70 Rating 1480
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.4
Cardinals
67-68 Rating 1493
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Cardinals
All-time wins 437 511
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.5
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Cardinals
Games played 135 135
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.5
Win percentage 48% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 48%