Final Score: Yankees 2 - Rays 5
Monday, October 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Yankees @ Rays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Yankees | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 280 | 215 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 1 |
| Stat | Yankees | Rays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 164 | 163 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.6 | 4.5 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.7 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 61% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 68% |
Recent Results
Yankees
@ Tampa Bay Rays
Oct 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 30, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 29, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 9
9-0
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 25, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Baltimore Orioles
Sep 25, 2026 · Margin: -8 · Total: 12
2-10
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 23, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 11
9-2
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Tampa Bay Rays
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 12
4-8
Rays
vs New York Yankees
Oct 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 27, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 26, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 13
12-1
@ Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ New York Yankees
Sep 24, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ New York Yankees
Sep 23, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
@ New York Yankees
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ New York Yankees
Sep 22, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Boston Red Sox
Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1