Final Score: Guardians 3 - Rays 7
Monday, October 19, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Guardians @ Rays

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Guardians
90-82 Rating 1518
Form: WLWLL
Guardians
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.6
Rays
104-66 Rating 1554
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Guardians Rays
All-time wins 117 94
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.5 4.0
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Guardians Rays
Games played 172 170
Avg runs scored 4.2 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.1 3.9
Win percentage 52% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 68%