Final Score: Rays 3 - Guardians 1
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

Rays @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
103-66 Rating 1552
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.1
Guardians
90-81 Rating 1520
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Guardians
All-time wins 93 117
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.0 4.6
Last meeting 7 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Guardians
Games played 169 171
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.0 4.1
Win percentage 61% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 50%