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Premier League
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT

Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 45% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
VS
2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: DWDDW
Model Probability
45%
28%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%22.8%8.7%4.3%
If Win 1.0%31.8%10.0%1.8%
If Draw <1%21.0%7.6%3.6%
If Lose <1%15.9%6.7%7.0%

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%18.0%6.9%6.3%
If Win <1%22.9%7.9%3.5%
If Draw <1%16.2%7.8%6.5%
If Lose <1%11.1%5.7%8.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatLeeds
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored1.4
2.4Avg goals conceded0.6
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 60% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatLeeds
4All-time wins (8 meetings, 2 draws)2
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-02-10): Chelsea 2–2 Leeds