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Premier League
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 76% chance to win.

4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
VS
0-2-3 · Rating 1836
Form: LDDLL
Model Probability
76%
9%
Draw 15%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Tottenham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.4%<1%39.8%
If Win <1%2.2%2.0%31.4%
If Draw <1%1.5%<1%37.2%
If Lose <1%1.2%<1%43.6%

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 40.1%96.1%1.6%<1%
If Win 43.0%96.8%1.3%<1%
If Draw 36.9%94.8%1.8%<1%
If Lose 34.0%94.6%2.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatTottenham
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored0.4
0.8Avg goals conceded1.6
80% / 0% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 40% / 60%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ArsenalStatTottenham
15All-time wins (33 meetings, 8 draws)10
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
1.9Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-02-22): Tottenham 1–4 Arsenal