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Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 74% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Arsenal
9-0-1Rating 2091
Form: WWWWW
vs
Model Probability
74%
Draw 16%
10%
Premier League
Tottenham
3-3-4Rating 1867
Form: LWWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Tottenham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%4.5%3.8%11.0%
If Win <1%8.2%4.7%6.6%
If Draw <1%4.9%3.4%8.6%
If Lose <1%3.7%2.7%11.8%

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 76.5%99.5%<1%<1%
If Win 78.4%99.9%<1%<1%
If Draw 72.0%99.2%<1%<1%
If Lose 69.7%99.4%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatTottenham
10Games played10
1.5Avg goals scored1.0
0.5Avg goals conceded1.1
90% / 0% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 30% / 40%
100% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ArsenalStatTottenham
15All-time wins (33 meetings, 8 draws)10
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
1.9Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-02-22): Tottenham 1–4 Arsenal