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Premier League
Sat, May 8, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Tottenham vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Tottenham has a 36% chance to win.

0-2-3 · Rating 1836
Form: LDDLL
VS
2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
Model Probability
36%
36%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%18.1%7.1%5.6%
If Win <1%23.0%7.7%3.6%
If Draw <1%16.5%7.3%6.1%
If Lose <1%14.2%5.5%7.6%

Tottenham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.7%1.1%40.0%
If Win <1%2.1%1.2%35.4%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%41.8%
If Lose <1%1.0%<1%46.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

TottenhamStatChelsea
5Games played5
0.4Avg goals scored2.0
1.6Avg goals conceded2.4
0% / 40% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 20% / 40%
0% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
TottenhamStatChelsea
6All-time wins (33 meetings, 9 draws)18
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
1.1Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-05-19): Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham