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Chelsea vs Everton Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 46% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, May 15, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW
vs
Model Probability
46%
Draw 27%
27%
Premier League
Everton
4-4-2Rating 1901
Form: WWLLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Everton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%18.7%8.7%1.9%
If Win <1%23.5%12.0%<1%
If Draw <1%18.3%9.5%1.7%
If Lose <1%13.7%8.7%2.7%

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%25.9%11.4%1.5%
If Win <1%31.5%12.3%<1%
If Draw <1%24.3%11.6%1.3%
If Lose <1%19.0%9.3%2.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatEverton
10Games played10
1.9Avg goals scored1.2
1.6Avg goals conceded1.0
50% / 10% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 40% / 20%
60% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatEverton
16All-time wins (34 meetings, 7 draws)11
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.6Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-10-17): Everton 0–2 Chelsea