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Everton vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 54% chance to win.
Premier League
Sun, May 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Everton
4-4-2Rating 1901
Form: WWLLD
vs
Model Probability
21%
Draw 25%
54%
Premier League
Arsenal
9-0-1Rating 2091
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 75.7%99.7%<1%<1%
If Win 80.6%99.7%<1%<1%
If Draw 74.6%99.4%<1%<1%
If Lose 71.2%99.3%<1%<1%

Everton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%18.9%9.3%2.4%
If Win <1%23.6%10.2%1.2%
If Draw <1%17.7%9.5%1.7%
If Lose <1%16.2%8.1%2.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

EvertonStatArsenal
10Games played10
1.2Avg goals scored1.5
1.0Avg goals conceded0.5
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss90% / 0% / 10%
60% Home win % / Away win % 80%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
EvertonStatArsenal
7All-time wins (34 meetings, 8 draws)19
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
0.9Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-10-24): Arsenal 2–0 Everton