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Premier League
Sun, May 30, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Arsenal vs Brighton Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 61% chance to win.

4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
VS
3-1-1 · Rating 1956
Form: WWDLW
Model Probability
61%
17%
Draw 22%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.2%55.9%9.0%<1%
If Win 5.8%63.7%8.4%<1%
If Draw 3.9%55.9%9.7%<1%
If Lose 2.6%53.0%9.0%<1%

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 40.4%96.2%1.5%<1%
If Win 45.8%97.1%1.1%<1%
If Draw 38.1%95.6%1.8%<1%
If Lose 32.8%94.2%2.5%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatBrighton
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored3.2
0.8Avg goals conceded1.0
80% / 0% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ArsenalStatBrighton
8All-time wins (19 meetings, 5 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.3Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-09-19): Brighton 3–0 Arsenal