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Premier League
Sun, May 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Bournemouth vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Bournemouth has a 43% chance to win.

0-3-2 · Rating 1890
Form: LDDDL
VS
2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
Model Probability
43%
30%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%17.6%6.5%5.8%
If Win <1%22.1%7.7%3.6%
If Draw <1%17.2%6.7%5.2%
If Lose <1%14.5%6.7%7.4%

Bournemouth

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%8.9%4.1%13.9%
If Win <1%10.2%4.9%10.0%
If Draw <1%7.4%4.7%14.3%
If Lose <1%5.1%3.3%16.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BournemouthStatChelsea
5Games played5
1.2Avg goals scored2.0
1.6Avg goals conceded2.4
0% / 60% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 20% / 40%
0% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BournemouthStatChelsea
4All-time wins (18 meetings, 5 draws)9
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2025-12-30): Chelsea 2–2 Bournemouth