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Bournemouth vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Bournemouth has a 49% chance to win.
Premier League
Sun, May 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Bournemouth
4-3-3Rating 1945
Form: WWWWL
vs
Model Probability
49%
Draw 26%
25%
Premier League
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%26.7%10.8%1.1%
If Win <1%35.5%12.3%<1%
If Draw <1%25.5%11.7%1.0%
If Lose <1%21.9%11.0%1.5%

Bournemouth

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%35.3%12.0%<1%
If Win <1%42.7%12.9%<1%
If Draw <1%32.7%11.4%<1%
If Lose <1%27.9%11.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BournemouthStatChelsea
10Games played10
1.6Avg goals scored1.9
1.4Avg goals conceded1.6
40% / 30% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 10% / 40%
40% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BournemouthStatChelsea
4All-time wins (19 meetings, 5 draws)10
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.1Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-10-10): Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth