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Premier League
Sun, May 30, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Chelsea vs Brentford Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 42% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
VS
2-3-0 · Rating 1914
Form: WDDDW
Model Probability
42%
30%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brentford

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%28.0%8.3%2.7%
If Win 1.0%33.7%9.4%1.7%
If Draw <1%27.1%9.4%3.3%
If Lose <1%22.5%7.9%3.4%

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%18.4%7.2%5.4%
If Win <1%21.0%8.2%4.6%
If Draw <1%16.3%6.4%6.4%
If Lose <1%13.7%6.0%7.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatBrentford
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored2.0
2.4Avg goals conceded0.8
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 60% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatBrentford
3All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
0.9Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-09-18): Brentford 3–0 Chelsea