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Chelsea vs Brentford Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 46% chance to win.
Premier League
Sun, May 30, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Premier League
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW
vs
Model Probability
46%
Draw 27%
27%
Premier League
Brentford
3-5-2Rating 1901
Form: LWDLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brentford

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%15.3%9.1%3.2%
If Win <1%21.2%10.4%1.8%
If Draw <1%14.2%8.8%2.4%
If Lose <1%12.0%7.9%3.3%

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%25.6%12.1%1.3%
If Win <1%30.6%11.8%<1%
If Draw <1%23.8%10.6%1.0%
If Lose <1%19.6%10.4%1.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatBrentford
10Games played10
1.9Avg goals scored1.6
1.6Avg goals conceded1.1
50% / 10% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 50% / 20%
60% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatBrentford
3All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
0.9Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-09-18): Brentford 3–0 Chelsea