← Home / England / Premier League / Matches / Liverpool vs Chelsea

Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 52% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Liverpool
5-3-2Rating 1964
Form: WLWWL
vs
Model Probability
52%
Draw 26%
23%
Premier League
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%26.3%10.6%1.2%
If Win <1%34.9%12.3%<1%
If Draw <1%26.0%10.6%1.4%
If Lose <1%22.5%11.2%1.7%

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 1.4%63.5%11.0%<1%
If Win 2.3%68.8%10.3%<1%
If Draw 1.3%60.7%12.1%<1%
If Lose <1%53.5%12.1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatChelsea
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.9
1.0Avg goals conceded1.6
50% / 30% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 10% / 40%
20% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatChelsea
12All-time wins (33 meetings, 13 draws)8
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-05-09): Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea