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Premier League
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Liverpool has a 53% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1963
Form: WDWDD
VS
2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
Model Probability
53%
22%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%18.2%7.9%6.6%
If Win <1%23.5%8.3%3.4%
If Draw <1%18.0%7.8%5.6%
If Lose <1%15.7%7.0%6.5%

Liverpool

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.9%52.0%10.2%<1%
If Win 3.6%56.5%9.9%<1%
If Draw 2.6%50.8%9.4%<1%
If Lose 1.8%44.1%9.5%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LiverpoolStatChelsea
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored2.0
0.8Avg goals conceded2.4
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 20% / 40%
0% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LiverpoolStatChelsea
12All-time wins (33 meetings, 13 draws)8
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.5Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-05-09): Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea