Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester City has a 44% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Model Prediction Through Season
Manchester City
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 13.1% | 91.9% | 3.6% | <1% |
| If Win | 16.2% | 94.4% | 2.4% | <1% |
| If Draw | 10.8% | 91.2% | 3.2% | <1% |
| If Lose | 9.9% | 88.9% | 4.6% | <1% |
Chelsea
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 25.6% | 11.0% | 1.4% |
| If Win | <1% | 33.1% | 12.7% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 25.9% | 9.8% | 1.2% |
| If Lose | <1% | 21.6% | 10.7% | 1.5% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games played | 10 |
| 1.9 | Avg goals scored | 2.1 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 50% / 10% / 40% | Win / Draw / Loss | 70% / 0% / 30% |
| 60% | Home win % / Away win % | 60% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws) | 18 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 3 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 1.6 |