Premier League
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester City has a 51% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 26%
Model Prediction Through Season
Manchester City
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 47.8% | 96.5% | 1.2% | <1% |
| If Win | 53.6% | 97.9% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 44.2% | 96.4% | 1.6% | <1% |
| If Lose | 40.9% | 95.0% | 2.0% | <1% |
Chelsea
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 17.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% |
| If Win | <1% | 23.2% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| If Draw | <1% | 18.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| If Lose | <1% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 2.0 | Avg goals scored | 2.6 |
| 2.4 | Avg goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 40% / 20% / 40% | Win / Draw / Loss | 100% / 0% / 0% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 100% |
| Chelsea | Stat | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws) | 18 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 3 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 1.6 |
Recent Results
Manchester City
vs Sunderland
Sun, Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5–3
@ Manchester Utd
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Coventry
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Crystal Palace
Fri, Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
vs Bournemouth
Sun, Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1