← Home / England / Premier League / Matches / Manchester Utd vs Leeds
Premier League
Sat, May 15, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Manchester Utd vs Leeds Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 51% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1941
Form: DLDWL
VS
2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: DWDDW
Model Probability
51%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%22.2%7.8%3.8%
If Win 1.1%28.0%9.5%2.5%
If Draw <1%21.1%8.1%3.4%
If Lose <1%17.8%8.1%5.7%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%26.5%8.7%2.9%
If Win 1.0%30.5%9.3%2.2%
If Draw <1%24.1%7.9%3.2%
If Lose <1%20.8%8.5%4.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatLeeds
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.4
1.6Avg goals conceded0.6
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 60% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatLeeds
4All-time wins (8 meetings, 3 draws)1
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
2.6Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-04-13): Manchester Utd 1–2 Leeds