← Home / England / Premier League / Matches / Manchester Utd vs Leeds

Manchester Utd vs Leeds Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester Utd has a 44% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, May 15, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Manchester Utd
1-5-4Rating 1892
Form: DLLDD
vs
Model Probability
44%
Draw 27%
28%
Premier League
Leeds
3-5-2Rating 1891
Form: WLDDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%12.9%7.9%3.4%
If Win <1%17.4%8.5%1.9%
If Draw <1%11.8%7.1%3.9%
If Lose <1%10.5%6.8%4.5%

Manchester Utd

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%3.1%2.9%14.7%
If Win <1%5.2%3.5%10.7%
If Draw <1%3.0%2.4%16.2%
If Lose <1%1.9%2.2%19.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Manchester UtdStatLeeds
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.0
1.9Avg goals conceded0.8
10% / 50% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 50% / 20%
20% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Manchester UtdStatLeeds
4All-time wins (9 meetings, 4 draws)1
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
2.4Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-10-18): Leeds 1–1 Manchester Utd