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Ligue 1
Sat, Feb 6, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Troyes vs Lille Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 45% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1690
Form: LLLWD
VS
3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
Model Probability
28%
45%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 4.4%27.4%12.8%<1%<1%
If Win 5.5%34.0%14.5%<1%<1%
If Draw 3.3%26.8%12.2%<1%<1%
If Lose 2.3%20.8%11.9%1.4%<1%

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%27.2%19.9%
If Win <1%<1%1.0%22.5%13.4%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%28.3%18.4%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%28.9%23.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

TroyesStatLille
5Games played5
0.8Avg goals scored1.6
2.2Avg goals conceded0.8
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
TroyesStatLille
3All-time wins (11 meetings, 5 draws)3
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.4Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-09-13): Lille 2–0 Troyes