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Bayern Munich vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 83% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Dec 18, 2026 · 7:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
5-3-0Rating 2051
Form: DWWDW
vs
Model Probability
83%
Draw 11%
6%
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
4-3-1Rating 1739
Form: WWDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Werder Bremen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%12.5%9.9%2.4%<1%
If Win <1%23.0%13.9%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%15.5%10.9%1.4%<1%
If Lose <1%11.4%9.4%3.1%<1%

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 85.3%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 86.8%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 79.7%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 74.7%99.3%<1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayern MunichStatWerder Bremen
8Games played8
3.4Avg goals scored2.1
1.0Avg goals conceded1.8
62% / 38% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 38% / 12%
75% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayern MunichStatWerder Bremen
28All-time wins (31 meetings, 2 draws)1
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
3.3Average goals0.6
Last meeting (2026-02-14): Werder Bremen 0–3 Bayern Munich