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Bundesliga
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT

Hamburger SV vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 61% chance to win.

1-0-3 · Rating 1681
Form: WLLLD
VS
4-0-0 · Rating 1916
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
17%
61%
Draw 22%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 17.1%91.1%4.1%<1%<1%
If Win 18.9%92.5%4.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 14.8%90.3%4.2%<1%<1%
If Lose 10.7%85.9%6.1%<1%<1%

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.0%1.1%27.2%13.8%
If Win <1%1.5%1.3%20.5%8.3%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%25.0%13.4%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%27.9%17.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Hamburger SVStatDortmund
4Games played4
0.5Avg goals scored2.2
3.2Avg goals conceded0.5
25% / 0% / 75%Win / Draw / Loss100% / 0% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Hamburger SVStatDortmund
5All-time wins (20 meetings, 3 draws)12
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.2Average goals2.2
Last meeting (2026-08-29): Dortmund 2–0 Hamburger SV