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UEFA Nations League · League A · Group 4 · Round 6
Tue, Nov 17, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Denmark vs Norway Prediction & Win Probability

Denmark has a 39% chance to win, with a 30% chance of a draw.

Rating 1829 · World #19
Form: WLWLD
VS
Rating 1837 · World #17
Form: LLLWD
Model Probability
39%
31%
Draw 30%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 4 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Denmark

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%62%35%2%
Denmark win 1%99%<1%<1%
Draw <1%64%36%<1%
Norway win <1%12%80%8%

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Norway

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%34%36%30%
Denmark win <1%<1%52%48%
Draw <1%34%39%26%
Norway win <1%79%11%10%

League A ยท Group 4

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Portugal 4 12 1961 100% <1% <1% <1%
2 Denmark 4 6 1829 <1% 62% 35% 2%
3 Wales 4 3 1718 <1% 3% 29% 68%
4 Norway 4 3 1837 <1% 34% 36% 30%
Quarter-finals (1st, 2nd) Relegation play-off (3rd) Relegated to League B (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
DenmarkStatNorway
5-2-3Won-Drawn-Lost5-1-4
2.5Avg goals scored1.9
1.5Avg goals conceded1.8
1829Rating1837
#19World rank#17

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
DenmarkStatNorway
3Wins (6 meetings, 2 draws)1
3Last 5 meetings (1 draw)1
1.83Average goals1.17
Last meeting (Thu, Sep 24, 2026, Nations League): Norway 3–2 Denmark