Final Score: Pirates 5 - Cardinals 4
Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET

Pirates @ Cardinals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Pirates
66-71 Rating 1480
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: St. Louis Cardinals +0.4
Cardinals
68-69 Rating 1493
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Pirates Cardinals
All-time wins 438 512
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.5
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Pirates Cardinals
Games played 137 137
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.5
Win percentage 48% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 45% 48%