Final Score: Rays 7 - Rangers 6
Friday, September 4, 2026 at 8:05 PM ET

Rays @ Rangers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
83-57 Rating 1532
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.2
Rangers
70-71 Rating 1494
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Rangers
All-time wins 105 127
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 5.0
Last meeting 0 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Rangers
Games played 140 141
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.4
Win percentage 59% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 57%