Final Score: Rays 6 - Rangers 3
Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 7:05 PM ET

Rays @ Rangers

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
84-57 Rating 1534
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.2
Rangers
70-72 Rating 1492
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Rangers
All-time wins 106 127
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 5.0
Last meeting 7 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Rangers
Games played 141 142
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.2 4.4
Win percentage 60% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 56%