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Premier League
Sat, Apr 10, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction & Win Probability

Aston Villa has a 43% chance to win.

1-1-3 · Rating 1944
Form: WLDLL
VS
3-1-1 · Rating 1956
Form: WWDLW
Model Probability
43%
30%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Brighton

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.2%54.6%9.7%<1%
If Win 5.0%62.1%8.9%<1%
If Draw 3.3%54.8%9.9%<1%
If Lose 2.7%49.4%8.8%<1%

Aston Villa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%25.0%8.1%4.4%
If Win <1%29.7%9.7%2.3%
If Draw <1%23.1%8.0%4.0%
If Lose <1%18.5%7.9%5.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Aston VillaStatBrighton
5Games played5
0.8Avg goals scored3.2
1.8Avg goals conceded1.0
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 20% / 20%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Aston VillaStatBrighton
9All-time wins (17 meetings, 5 draws)3
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.8Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-08-23): Brighton 4–0 Aston Villa