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Premier League
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 63% chance to win.

4-0-1 · Rating 2074
Form: LWWWW
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1944
Form: WLDLL
Model Probability
63%
16%
Draw 21%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Aston Villa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%23.8%8.3%3.5%
If Win 1.0%32.3%9.6%1.9%
If Draw <1%26.8%8.2%2.8%
If Lose <1%21.6%7.8%5.1%

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 41.0%97.0%1.2%<1%
If Win 44.5%97.7%<1%<1%
If Draw 35.3%95.3%2.1%<1%
If Lose 33.0%94.4%2.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ArsenalStatAston Villa
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored0.8
0.8Avg goals conceded1.8
80% / 0% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
100% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ArsenalStatAston Villa
17All-time wins (28 meetings, 3 draws)8
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.9Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-08-31): Aston Villa 0–1 Arsenal