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Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 72% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Wed, Jan 13, 2027 · 7:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
5-3-0Rating 2051
Form: DWWDW
vs
Model Probability
72%
Draw 17%
11%
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
4-1-3Rating 1848
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%46.5%17.5%<1%<1%
If Win 2.5%61.8%14.6%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.2%51.4%15.9%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%43.2%15.5%<1%<1%

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 85.1%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 87.3%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 79.6%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 73.5%99.4%<1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayern MunichStatBayer Leverkusen
8Games played8
3.4Avg goals scored2.2
1.0Avg goals conceded2.0
62% / 38% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 12% / 38%
75% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayern MunichStatBayer Leverkusen
16All-time wins (33 meetings, 10 draws)7
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.8Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-03-14): Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Bayern Munich